(Not related to Chauncey Gardiner. Or is it? I ramble, you decipher.)
The argument seems to be that peace is possible because Kerry has relationships with leaders, Kerry is trusted, Kerry was in the Senate for 30 years, Kerry chaired the Foreign Relations Committee, and Kerry was on the White House lawn when Rabin shook hands with Arafat. So our job is to have faith in him, and if we believe that peace is possible, it will come.
Abrams calls this the "Tinkerbell Effect", and follows it in one direction.
I'll just go off on a tangent here, and point to the Being There effect. Kerry Was In All The Right Places. Just as Hillary Was In All The Right Places. Having been in all the right places, and in the same room with Important People, makes one competent, does it not?
By which logic, of course, hanging out at filksings makes me a songwriter. And associating with retired soldiers makes me an expert military adviser.
Unfortunately, this sort of competence-by-association seems to be common in the wonderful world of social networking, which dominates politics (regardless of party) and business (outside, perhaps, of a few fields in which actual competence can readily be assessed*).
And that's how we end up with the political class we have. And the management class**.
* It's easy to screen, e.g., actors and concert violinists for competence. Some companies try to screen engineers before hiring them; I've occasionally been involved in the process, from both sides. But a CEO? You'd think his track record would matter, but that appears not to be the case, given the walking disaster areas who keep finding new employment even as the companies in their care implode.
** I know my management skills are basically nonexistent. Managers are highly confident in their skills, because they've been to the right schools and taken the right classes; the concept of outcome-based evaluation does not apply, so there's no cause for doubt.